The other day, I was watching that noted expert on all things O.J., Holloway and political, Greta Van Munchkin, and she was busy telling people who actually are political experts like Karl Rove, Dick Morris and Frank Luntz (not all at once) that she thought Harry Reid would win in November.
My immediate reaction is that she ought to stick to O.J., because she has no idea of the palpable dislike Nevada has acquired for its senior senator, and appears to be unwilling to learn.
I, myself, have a new unscientific method for measuring the sentiment.
It’s called the Fred Weinberg-Southwest Airlines-KWNA-KELY poll.
As our regular readers are aware, we own, among others, the two aforementioned radio stations and I spend a lot of time on Southwest Airlines commuting to our stations from my Southern Nevada home. I fly out of Las Vegas and I fly a lot.
In my last 30 flights to and from Las Vegas (that’s about the last 15 weeks) I have not yet been seated next to a Nevada voter who intends to vote for Harry Reid.
In fact, in my last 30 flights, I have not yet been seated next to a Nevada voter who has anything which can remotely be considered nice to say about Harry Reid.
I have, however, been given six sets of souvenir bumper stickers which ranged from “Will Rogers Never Met Harry Reid” to “Anybody Butt Harry Reid” by my fellow passengers in the past 15 weeks.
I also have not heard that Sharron Angle is “too extreme” from anybody I have been seated next to. In fact, most of the people I have conversed with in flight think that Harry Reid is, along with his patron saint Barack Obama, one step away from being the publisher of Pravda.
I started keeping track 15 weeks ago, because I came to the conclusion that while the poll itself is probably unscientific, it is clearly rooted in reality.
Southwest carries many business people every day. Some of us owned our own planes until early 2009 and bowed to economic reality. Some of us are traveling so much because we have fewer employees. (In my case, it’s both.) In any event, most of us are on the front lines of America’s largest employer—small business.
And we ALL vote.
Can Harry possibly beat Sharron without the Southwest Airlines regular passenger vote?
Many of my fellow passengers admitted to having voted for Harry in the past because they felt he was at least representing the state. That plane has left the gate (pun intended).
Some of my fellow passengers admitted to having voted for Obama in 2008. Their passing relationship with hope and change has, apparently passed.
To be sure, what I’ll call the Southwest vote is a subset of the population.
But it is a subset which votes in just about every election that comes along including off-year sewer bond votes.
So, when you see those commercials from Harry where he makes the assumption that Nevada thinks believing in God is so 1994, that being pro-abortion is a good thing, that Social Security should not be touched until it is completely bankrupt, remember that most of my fellow passengers on Southwest respectfully disagree.
Further, when he tries to demonize Sharron for suggesting that she would NOT have tried to strong-arm bankers to keep lending to MGM so they could finish their white elephant City Center, most of my seatmates get that it was wrong—and probably illegal—for Harry to do that. That it is the exact same thing Maxine Waters has been charged with by the House Ethics Committee.
Is my poll scientific? For any number of reasons, no.
Is it accurate? I’ll bet it is.